Debating pressing global and regional population issues

22 AUG 2017

The International Union for the Scientific Study pf Population (IUSSP) organizes the International Population Conference once every four years in a different country, in collaboration with a host country institution. This major international event draws some 2,000 population scholars, policy makers, and government officials from around the world to discuss the latest population research and debate pressing global and regional population issues.

Statistics South Africa will host the 28th International Population Conference of the IUSSP in Cape Town, South Africa at the Cape Town International Conference Centre (CTICC) from 29 October to 4 November 2017. Researchers from the Wittgenstein Centre will present and discuss new research in presentations and poster sessions at this important event.

For more information to this conference please visit the event website.

Wittgenstein Centre contributions at the IUSSP (status 25 Sep 2017)

Monday, 30 October 2017

Session 701-5: 08:45 AM - 09:00 AM

2. Migrant fertility in Europe: Accelerated decline during the recession period? • Tomas Sobotka

Session 705: Fertility transitions in Africa, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

1. Exploring the Link Between Structural Adjustment Programs, Educational Discontinuities and Stalled Fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa • Endale Kebede, Anne Goujon, Wolfgang Lutz

Session 1301-2: Urbanization Patterns, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

2. India’s urban perspective. Factors contributing to the present and future urban development • Markus Speringer, Samir K.C., Marcus Wurzer Poster

Session 9-1: Health, mortality and longevity, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

17. Integration of maternal postpartum services in maternal and child health services in Kaya health district (Burkina Faso): an intervention time trend analysis • Danielle Yugbare Belemsaga, Anne Goujon, Seni Kouanda, Alima Tougri, Abou Coulibaly, Els Duysburgh, Olivier Degomme, Marleen Temmerman

22. A spatial panel analysis of the socioeconomic gradient of avoidable hospital admissions • Anna-Theresa Renner, Simone Ghislandi

Poster Session P1-1: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

10. Prospects of population aging and shrinking in Bulgaria and the role of human capital • Anna Dimitrova

Session 507: Methods using limited, deficient, and defective data, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

2. Expectation of Life at Old Age: Revisiting Horiuchi-Coale and reconciling with Mitra • Dalkhat Ediev

Session: 709-1: 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

Discussant: Tomas Sobotka

Session: 901-2: 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

Discussant: Marc Luy

Session: 901-3: 03:30 PM - 05:00 PM

Discussant: Marc Luy

3. The Health Knowledge Mechanism: Evidence on the Link between Education and Health Lifestyle in the Philippines • Roman Hoffmann, Sebastian Lutz

Session 904: 03:30 PM - 05:00 PM

4. Education differential in Mortality: Past, Present, and the Future • Samir K.C., Erich Striessnig

Tuesday, 31 October 2017

Session 501-4: 08:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Discussant: Nandita Saikia

Session 707: 08:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Discussant: Anne Goujon

1. Reversals, diminishing differentials, or stable pattern? Long-term trends in educational gradients in fertility across the developed countries • Tomas Sobotka, Eva Beaujouan, Zuzanna Brzozowska

3. Predicting Indian fertility in light of education • Samir K.C., Markus Speringer, Marcus Wurzer

Session 1001-2: Beyond the classical model of demographic transition, 08:30 AM - 10:00 AM

1. Cognition Driven Demographic Transition • Wolfgang Lutz

Session 504: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

Discussant: Dilek Yildiz

Session 706: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

1. Gender revolution, family reversals and fertility • Tomas Sobotka, Anna Matysiak, Zuzanna Brzozowska, Eva Beaujouan

Session 913: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

3. Cross-sectional association between health and mortality: The CroHaM hypothesis • Marc Luy

Poster Session P1-2: Ageing and intergenerational relations, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

9. Production and Transfers through Unpaid Work by Age and Gender: A Comparative Analysis of Austria, Italy and Slovenia • Joze Sambt, Marina Zannella, Bernhard Hammer, Alexia Prskawetz Poster

Session P4: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

8. Religion and Educational Attainment Around the World • Conrad Hackett, David McClendon, Caryle Murphy, Michaela Potancokova, Marcin Stonawski, Vegard Skirbekk

Poster Session P5-2: Demographic methods and data, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

1. How many old people have ever lived? • Gustav Feichtinger, Dalkhat Ediev, Alexia Prskawetz, Miguel Sanchez-Romero

5. Bayesian reconstruction of populations by age, sex and level of education • Dilek Yildiz, Guy Abel, Anne Goujon, Guillermo Vinue, Samir K.C., Markus Speringer, Michaela Potancokova, Ramon Bauer

Poster Session P13-2: Migration and urbanisation, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

6. Family context of married refuge seeking persons: Who arrived with the partner? Who left children behind? Insights from Syrian and Iraqi persons arriving in Austria in 2015 • Isabella Buber-Ennser, Zakarya AlZalak, Judith Kohlenberger, Bernhard Rengs

Poster Session P14-1: Population and development, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

3. Are the (education) SDGs still unfair to Africa? • Bilal Barakat, Stephanie Bengtsson

Session 502-1: 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

4. SAMPP - An R package for small area multistate population projections • Marcus Wurzer, Samir K.C., Markus Speringer

Session 601: Education and labour force, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

1. Impacts of increasing education and immigration level on the skill level of the labour force • Samuel Vézina, Alain Belanger

Session 901-5: 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

Discussant: Marc Luy

Session 911-3: Spatial patterns and determinants of child health, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

3. Child Malnutrition in Uganda: Regional disparities and socio-economic inequalities • Mujaheed Shaikh, Simone Ghislandi

4. Geographical differentials and determinants of excess female under-five deaths in Indian Districts: Evidence from the Census 2011 • Nandita Saikia, Christophe Guilmoto, Vandana Tamrakar, Jayanta Bora

Session 708: Public policy and fertility change, 03:30 PM - 05:00 PM

3. What difference does education make? Examining the changing relationship between education and cohort fertility during the fertility transition in Thailand, 1970 – 2010 • Thananon Buathong, Wiraporn Pothisiri, Raya Muttarak, Mujaheed Shaikh

Session 1001-1: Views of fertility, 03:30 PM - 05:00 PM

2. The Mechanics of the Baby Boom. Unveiling the Role of the Epidemiological Transition • Danielle Gauvreau, Patrick Sabourin, Samuel Vézina, Benoît Laplante

Wednesday, 1 November 2017

Session 709: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

Discussant: Tomas Sobotka

Session 804: Gender differentials in rural-to-urban migration, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

1. Who is moving? Exploring internal migration by gender and education across 58 countries • Guy Abel, Raya Muttarak

Session 901-4: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

Discussant: Marc Luy

Poster Session P5-3: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

1. Modeling educational attainment in a microsimulation projection model for the EU28 • Guillaume Marois, Patrick Sabourin, Alain Belanger

Session P7-3: Fertility, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

2. More schooling, more kids? Education and changing fertility intention in a low fertility context: The case of Thailand • Thananon Buathong, Raya Muttarak, Erich Striessnig, Maria Rita Testa

13. Less Feet, Less Footprint: The Relationship Between Environmental Concern and Fertility Intentions • Marina Andrijevic, Erich Striessnig

Poster Session P14-2: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

15. Challenges to meeting the SDG targets of universal upper secondary education in China • Wu Yingji, Samir K.C.

Session P16: Population, consumption and the environment, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

8. Explaining the Link between Education and Green Behavior in the Philippines: The Role of Knowledge and Climate Change Perception • Roman Hoffmann, Raya Muttarak

Session 501-6: Mortality methods, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

4. Constrained mortality extrapolation to old age: An empirical assessment • Dalkhat Ediev

Thursday, 2 November 2017

Session 704-1: Fertility preferences and associated factors, 08:30 AM - 10:00 AM

4. Didn’t plan it but got a baby: Mistimed and unintended births among men and women in six European countries • Zuzanna Brzozowska, Isabella Buber-Ennser, Bernhard Riederer, Michaela Potancokova

Session 1502-1: Measuring and Interpreting Social Exclusion: Data and Methods, 08:45 AM - 09:00 AM

2. Visibly absent? Indirect estimation of orphan undercount in household survey data • Bilal Barakat, Stephanie Bengtsson

Session 1601-1: Environmental Change and Migration: Models and Methods, 08:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Discussant: Raya Muttarak

Session 701-4: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

Discussant: Zuzanna Brzozowska

Session 901-6: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

Discussant: Marc Luy, Nandita Saikia

Poster Session P5-4: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

7. Probabilistic methods for combining internal migration data • Arkadiusz Wisniowski, Dilek Yildiz, Guillermo Vinue, Guy Abel

Poster Session P9-4: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

27. Differences in Adult Mortality by education, caste and religion in India: Application of modified Orphanhood Method in India Human Development Survey • Jayanta Bora, Nandita Saikia, Marc Luy

Poster Session P13-4: Migration and urbanisation, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

13. Simplifying the complex: Alternative measures of bilateral migration • Wei QI, Guy Abel, Raya Muttarak

22. A comparison of bilateral migration counts by time intervals • Guillermo Vinue, Guy Abel

Session 106: Social pensions: Sustainability, implementation and impacts on old and young, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

2. Inter-Generational Public Transfers in EU-Countries: An Evaluation of Sustainability Using National Transfer Accounts • Bernhard Hammer, Alexia Prskawetz, Robert Gal, Lili Vargha, Tanja Istenic

Session 803-1: Gender and later-life transitions 2, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

4. Gender Inequality in Survival at Older Ages • Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov

Session 1603: Climate change vulnerability and migration, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

1. Examining the link between climate, conflict and cross-border migration using Heckman selection with gravity model • Raya Muttarak, Guy Abel, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Michael Brottrager

Session 1901-1: Policies to enhance the realization of demographic dividend in Africa, 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

2. Investing Early: Building an implementable agenda for Early Childhood Development in Africa within the Sustainable Development Goal framework • Stephanie Bengtsson, Bilal Barakat

Session 901: 03:30 PM - 05:00 PM

Discussant: Marc Luy

Friday, 3 November 2017

Session 509: Projecting populations and demographic components, 08:30 AM - 08:45 AM

2. Probabilistic Population Aging • Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Patrick Gerland

Session 1201-1: 08:30 AM - 08:45 AM

1. Contributions of cohabitation to parental separation: Microsimulations for Italy, Great Britain, and Norway • Elizabeth Thomson, Maria Winkler-Dworak, Eva Beaujouan

Session 510: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

3. Using Focus Groups to Understand Demographic Behavior across Countries: Reflections from the “Focus on Partnerships” Project • Brienna Perelli-Harris, Monika Mynarska, Caroline Berghammer, Ann Berrington, Ann Evans, Olga Isupova, Renske Keizer, Andreas Klaerner, Trude Lappegård, Daniele Vignoli

Session: 901-1: 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

Discussant: Raya Muttarak, Marc Luy

Poster Session P6-5: Education and labour force, 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

4. Education attainment in the 20th century. Using historical data to reconstruct a new global dataset on education • Markus Speringer, Sandra Jurasszovich, Dilek Yildiz, Ramon Bauer, Samir K.C., Anne Goujon

Poster Session P7-5: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

9. Realization of fertility intentions in couples: How much does the division of family work matter? An international comparison • Bernhard Riederer, Isabella Buber-Ennser, Zuzanna Brzozowska

Poster Session P9-5: 12:00 PM - 01:30 PM

8. When Communities Participate in Primary Health Care: A Randomized Controlled Trial of a Community Health Worker Program in the Philippines • Roman Hoffmann

Session 807: 01:30 PM - 03:00 PM

3. Inherent sex differences and disease: What we can learn from Catholic order members • Angela Wiedemann

Session 1404: Monitoring development goals, 03:30 PM - 05:00 PM

4. A modest proposal for a lean and reliable measure of human development: the Human Life Index • Simone Ghislandi, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov


Session: () Meeting the challenge of producing skills for a 21st century African labor force

2.The role of education in developing Africa's workforce • Wolfgang Lutz

Session: () Sponsored Research Leader Session: "Our Next World" - Rethinking Demography, organized by the WDA Forum in collaboration with the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufactureres and Associations (IFPMA)

2. Assembling the Jigsaw • Wolfgang Lutz

Session: () Sponsored Research Leader Session: Migration into the European Union: Consequences of alternative migration scenarios on future population composition -- by EC-JRC/IIASA Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM)

Chair: Wolfgang Lutz

Discussant: Phil Rees

1. Introduction to the topic • Wolfgang Lutz, Alessandra Zampier

2. Future population ageing and labor force in the EU under alternative scenarios by age, sex, education and labor force participation rates • Elke Loichinger

3. Projecting the impact of immigration on the population composition in the EU-28 countries: a microsimulation model based of the EU-LFS • Alain Belanger, Guillaume Marois, Patrick Sabourin

4. The effect of alternative migration scenarios on the religious composition of Europe’s populations • Marcin Stankovski. Michaela Potancokov

5. Possible effects of climate change as an additional push factor for migration to Europe • Raya Muttarak, Patrick Sakdapolrak

The Wittgenstein Centre aspires to be a world leader in the advancement of demographic methods and their application to the analysis of human capital and population dynamics. It is a collaboration among the World Population Program of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), the Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences (VID/ÖAW) and the Demography Group and the Research Institute on Human Capital and Development of the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU).

Wittgenstein Centre Partner: WU Wittgenstein Centre Partner: OEAW Wittgenstein Centre Partner: IIASA